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"The period of global food security is over. As the demand for food continues to press against supply, inevitably real food prices will rise. The question no longer seems to be whether they will rise, but how much." Lester Brown of the Worldwatch Institute in 1981

"The world's farmers can no longer be counted on to feed the projected additions to the world's population." Lester Brown Worldwatch State of the World report 1994

"Food scarcity will be the defining issue of the new era now unfolding, much as ideological conflict was the defining issue of the historical era that recently ended. .. Rising food prices will be the first major economic indicator to show that the world economy is on an environmentally unsustainable path." Lester Brown Worldwatch State of the World report 1997

In 1995 Lester Brown predicted that China's grain import needs would likely increase to between 200 and 369 million tons by 2030.

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Last modified: September 20, 2006