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Globalisation is good for you.

The anti-globalisation brigade generally claims that poor people and poor countries lose out from international trade. 

This was always implausible to people who understood that the whole point of free trade is that both parties gain.  The market does not allocate the resources of a fixed size pie, and free trade is not a zero sum game.  The idea of one group not benefiting became even less plausible 200 years ago with the demonstration of Ricardo’s Law of Comparative Advantage, which showed that even if one side is disadvantaged in all aspects of the relevant market, perhaps by having both more expensive labour and more expensive raw materials, both sides still benefit from trade liberalisation.    Perhaps it was the counterintuitive nature of Ricardo’s theory that has led so many people to support futile and harmful protectionism.  Anyway, there is now strong empirical support from a World Bank report* click here for details that even the dimmest bobble-hatted protester should be able to understand.  

The World Bank classified poor countries according to their degree of globalisation by the simple trick of measured the ratio of international trade to national income.   The higher the ratio the more “globalised” the country.   

It turned out that international trade was largely confined to rich countries until 1980.  Prior to that date most poor countries were hardly being “globalised” at all.   Since then abut 24 poor countries that are home to three billion people became “gobalised” according to this simple trade:income ratio.  They include China, India and Mexico.   In the 1990s the GDP in these “globalised” countries rose at an average annual rate of five percent.

However, a large number of poor countries including many in Africa remained “unglobalised”.  In fact their ratio of trade to income actually fell even from its starting low level.    Surprise, surprise!   In those countries gross domestic product per person (expressed as purchasing power parity) not only grew slower, on average it actually fell by an annual rate of one percent.   For those who are interested the GDP of rich countries grew at an annual rate of two percent.

The message is that if poor countries engage in international trade they can expect growth rates more than twice the rate of rich countries and they will soon be rich too.   If they don’t their GDP per person will actually shrink.  

People who care about the poor should not control global trade with poor countries but find ways to encourage it.   The best way to do that is to remove artificial trade barriers.  

Jim Thornton Leeds 7 Dec 2001

* Globalization, Growth, and Poverty: Building an Inclusive World Economy
by David Dollar , Paul Collier.  World Back policy research report Dec 2001.

 

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Last modified: October 19, 2005