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The World Wildlife Fund's (WWF) Living Planet report 2002 (click here for details) predicts that between the years 2030 and 2060 average human life expectancy will fall to 25 years.  An incredible catastrophe if true.   Current life expectancy is about 75 years and the United Nations population division predicts it will rise to 80 years by 2060.   Even in less developed countries average life expectancy is over 60 years today.  

The cause is apparently going to be environmental destruction.  According to WWF the human ecological footprint is greater than the size of the earth so we are running out of resources.   The report does not make clear how this disaster is going to happen.  It presumably won't be global warming since even on the worst analyses that will have added only one degree by 2030.  

Perhaps we should panic.  Perhaps not.  According to the Economist the WWF model is the same as the one used by the club of Rome in the 1970s.   That one predicted that we'd run out of oil by 1992.  

Read more here 

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Last modified: September 20, 2006