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A 38-year-old Danish statistician last week found himself convicted of the ancient crime of heresy. Despite his vehement denials, a specially-convened committee tried him, and found him guilty of insisting that the End of the World is not Nigh. Among environmentalists, Dr Bjorn Lomborg is the devil
incarnate, an academic Beelzebub determined to convince us that, contrary to
everything we have been told, our planet is not really on the brink of
eco-disaster at all. The evidence for his heresy is all there in his book The
Skeptical Environmentalist, published in 2001. He says that many of the claims
made by activists about the state of the planet are just not borne out by the
evidence: from pollution to poverty levels, infant mortality to life expectancy,
many aspects of life on earth have improved dramatically in recent decades. This might sound like the rose-tinted view of some puppet
of the military-industrial complex, yet Lomborg describes himself as an
"old Left-wing Greenpeace member". More extraordinary still, Lomborg
cheerfully admits that he has done no original research to back his claims.
Instead, like a good statistician, he has simply tracked down the latest data
from independent and reputable sources, and let the evidence speak for itself. Unfortunately for Lomborg, the environmental lobby does not
like what it heard. For the past two years, it has pursued a campaign of
vilification of him and his book, using everything from scathing reviews to ad
hominem attacks - and custard pies in the face. The culmination of the campaign came last week, with the
publication of a report by the Danish Committees on Scientific Dishonesty - the
state-funded watchdog of scientific ethics in Denmark. It declared that there
had been "such perversion of the scientific message" in The Skeptical
Environmentalist that the book was "clearly contrary to the standards of
good scientific practice". The apparent humiliation of Dr Lomborg has been greeted
with jubilation by environmentalists, who see it as pay-back time for someone
hell-bent on humiliating them. The rest of us should be disturbed by the
parallels between the treatment of Dr Lomborg and that meted out nearly 400
years ago to another scientific troublemaker. Everyone thinks that they know the story of Galileo's
persecution by the Catholic Church. Yet in reality, the villains of the piece
were not the cardinals, but Galileo's fellow academics. As a vocal critic of the
Aristotelian philosophy then being taught in universities, he threatened to
undermine their professorial status and income. In a brilliantly orchestrated
campaign, they compelled the Inquisition to investigate Galileo's
"heretical" claims, and eventually got what they wanted: his silence. In Lomborg's case, the campaign has been organised by
self-serving environmentalists, whose complaints have been accepted without
demur by the Orwellian Danish Committees on Scientific Dishonesty. While
accusing Lomborg of "systematically-biased representation", the report
consists chiefly of assertions by his critics lifted from the pages of a popular
science magazine. The committee all but ignored Lomborg's own defence, along
with the fact that his book was refereed by four independent experts - all of
whom recommended publication. Environmentalists hoping that last week's ruling will do for Lomborg what the Inquisition did for Galileo are likely to be disappointed. Far from winning his silence, they have given his devastating critique of eco-scaremongering yet more publicity - and shown what the scramble for grants and charitable donations is doing to the search for truth. By Robert Matthews 12/01/2003 |
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